Hurricane Rachel Strengthens to Category 3 Off Baja California
The estate's storm-tracking instruments flagged Rachel at 95 kt near 19.3, -110.8, consistent with AP reporting of a Category 3 system threatening Mexico's Pacific coast just as the region reels from Hurricane Polo's floods.
Hurricane Rachel has strengthened to a Category 3 storm off Mexico's Pacific coast, according to [1]. The estate's own instruments registered the storm at 95 kt near coordinates 19.3, -110.8 — a position and intensity broadly consistent with the National Hurricane Center data cited in reporting from the Associated Press.
As of Thursday evening, Rachel's maximum sustained winds stood at 120 mph (193 kph), with the storm located roughly 235 miles (380 kilometers) south of the southern tip of Baja California, according to [1]. The system was moving west-northwest at just 3 mph, and forecasters expected further strengthening on Friday before a weakening trend over the weekend, according to [1].
Mexican authorities are on alert for very heavy rain across Baja California Sur, Sinaloa and Jalisco, with warnings of landslides, rising river levels and flooding in low-lying areas, according to [1]. The U.S. Embassy in Mexico has separately warned American citizens in Cabo San Lucas — a major tourist destination — of beach and port closures and dangerous rip currents, according to [1].
Rachel's arrival comes as parts of northern Mexico are still recovering from the remnants of Hurricane Polo earlier in the week. At least 13 municipalities remained flooded as of Thursday night, and hundreds of people were displaced or lost their homes, according to [1]. In Sonora state, one resident, Lucía Vegas, told the AP she and her family survived only because their dog woke them as floodwaters rose, giving them time to climb onto their roof before their home was submerged, according to [1].
The broader pattern, per [1], is being attributed by experts to El Niño, which has produced warmer Pacific waters and wind patterns favourable to hurricane formation this season, while simultaneously fuelling drought in Mexico and Central America. A separate system, Tropical Storm Nolo, was tracking northwest away from Hawaii and could become a hurricane by the weekend, according to [1].
Polo's remnants have also caused significant flooding well north of the border. Lincoln, Nebraska, recorded its wettest day on record Wednesday with 6.1 inches of rain, according to [1] citing the University of Nebraska-Lincoln Climate Office. Omaha saw 4.7 inches and 80 water rescues in a three-hour span, with floodwaters reaching 8 feet in places, according to [1]. San Antonio, Texas, remained under a flash-flood warning through Thursday evening, and more than 19,000 Texas residents were without power, according to [1] citing PowerOutage.us. Kansas Governor Laura Kelly issued an emergency proclamation ahead of the storms, according to [1].
What the material does not establish is any landfall forecast or track for Rachel beyond the weekend weakening trend noted by the NHC, nor any estimate of Mexican coastal exposure or evacuation orders tied specifically to Rachel rather than Polo's aftermath. The estate's instrument reading of 95 kt at 19.3, -110.8 is consistent with, but not independently verified beyond, the AP's sourcing to the National Hurricane Center.
What to watch next: whether Rachel's forecast strengthening materialises Friday as the NHC predicted, and whether Mexican authorities issue coastal evacuation orders for Baja California Sur as the storm's swells approach.
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